The COVID-19 Updates

[geohunk]

The PCR Testing Scam: The Technique Cannot Be Used To Detect Viruses, According To Its Inventor January 3, 2021

“Fauci doesn’t understand medicine, he’s an administrator”, “he has an agenda” said Kary Mullis, Nobel Prize winning inventor of PCR tests.

Although he died just before Fauci did it again (yet another “coincidence” surrounding COVID-19), much bigger than ever, we MUST listen to what he said as the misuse of his PCR test is now the basis for a bigger world wide lockdown.

KARY MULLIS, CANCEL CULTURE and COVID 19

Buti pa etong KIWI doctor she knows what she is talking about not like another kiwi who just posts smear campaign hit pieces and labeling conspiracy theories lang daw while at the same time having a serious case of Cognitive Dissonance.

Mr. Mullis might have been rolling in his grave right now with the way his invention is being used recklessly in crafting today's world policies because of this pandemic. If he was still alive today he would have violently gone against how his PCR test is being used.

[geohunk]

When it comes to vaccines, suddenly “from vs with” matters again
Mar 15, 2021
The media’s attitude to possible vaccine-related injuries highlights how INSANE the “Covid deaths” count always was

In the last few weeks the media has demonstrated one of the clearest, most concise displays of true-life doublethink I’ve ever seen. It truly is the perfect exemplar.

The dichotomy is in “covid deaths” vs “vaccine related injuries”.

As we all know by now, countries all around the world define “Covid deaths” as “people who die, of any cause, within 30 days of a positive test result” (the number of days changes by country, it’s usually between 28 and 60). This trend was started in Italy last spring, and spread all around the world.

Globally, with a few notable exceptions, a “covid death” is a death “from any cause” following a positive test.

And when they say “any cause”, they mean it. Up to, and including, shooting yourself in the head.

In one blackly hilarious case, a man “died of coronavirus” after being shot by the police, with his 7 gunshot wounds being listed as “complications”.

That’s how loosely defined “covid death” has become, it is more or less meaningless. However, Covid “vaccines”, and possible related injuries or deaths, are a very different matter.

The establishment is going out of its way to make sure everyone understands that anybody who gets ill, or dies, after being vaccinated, is absolutely NOT a “vaccine death”.

What’s hilarious is those same journalists and “experts” preaching against “Covid denial”, are now literally employing our own arguments against us in the name of defending the vaccines.

Check out this article from ABC a few weeks ago, quoting one doctor:

"We have to be very careful about causality. There are going to be spurious relationships, especially as the vaccine is targeting elderly or those with chronic conditions. Just because these events happen in proximity to the vaccine does not mean the vaccine caused these events. Nursing home centers and hospices are of particular concern, because they are homes to incredibly frail populations, and you have to look at the background rate of these events within those populations.”

You see, it’s important not take deaths out of context. After all, many of the people who die after being vaccinated are old and frail and already seriously ill. We need to be “careful about causation”, just because event B happened after event A, does not mean A caused B to happen.

In other words: There is a difference between with and from.

Hmmm. Does that argument sound familiar to anyone else?

The article continues:

"In fact, an average of 8,000 people die each day in the United States. Some of them may have just received a coronavirus vaccine."

Fascinating. Apparently 8000 people die each and every day in the United States – translating to roughly 3 million people per year – and falsely attributing natural human mortality to a potentially totally unconnected event might cause panic.

I really feel like I might have read a similar sentiment somewhere else, too. Don’t you?

The Reuters “fact check” on vaccine injury says exactly the same thing:

"Reports of death following vaccination do not necessarily mean the vaccine caused the death,”

The sheer desperation of the PR in the press is apparent in all the headlines. Such as:

"Pfizer Covid vaccine probably didn’t kill woman, 78, who died shortly after having it"

Or:

"Woman dies from brain haemorrhage in Japan days after vaccine, but link uncertain"

Or:

"Macomb County man, 90, dies after COVID-19 vaccine — but doctors say shots are safe"

Essentially, if you die within two months of testing positive for Sars-Cov-2, you’re a “Covid death”, and if you die within two minutes of getting the vaccine, you’re a coincidence.

Now, that’s not to say the vaccine definitely did kill those unfortunate people, I don’t know the details of the cases. The point is the equivocation. The soft use of language which is totally at odds with the apocalyptic prose discussing “Covid deaths”.

No where is this contradiction more apparent than in the UK right now, following the AstraZeneca situation.

A quick recap, for those who haven’t heard: Recently, the Norwegian government suspended use of the Oxford/AstraZeneca vaccine, following it being linked to increased risk of blood clots. Several other countries soon followed suit.

This has prompted a UK-wide defence of the AstraZeneca jab. Including this piece from David Spiegelhalter, in the Guardian just today, in which he uses the same exact argument as the ABC article, almost word for word:

"It’s human nature to spot patterns in data. But we should be careful about finding causal links where none may exist"

After 12 months of ignoring the conversation on “with” vs “from”, suddenly all the vaccine pushers have rediscovered the difference. None of them seem in any way aware of their self-contradiction.

But this ludicrous double standard doesn’t just apply to death, but also the concept of acceptable risk.

Appearing on Good Morning Britain today, UK Dr Nighat Arif encouraged the continued use of the AstraZeneca shot, by explaining that technically there’s always small chance you’ll get a blood clot, but you can’t let that stop you doing what needs to be done:

"As a GP I see clots a lot, unfortunately our background risk of getting a clot is about 1/1000 people. If you’re on a flight, your risk of clot increases. If women are on the contraceptive pill, their risk of clot increases. People going to hospital for surgery. However, we don’t stop doing any of those things."

The doctor is actually arguing that refusing to live your life based on a 0.1% risk of death is foolish, and that nobody should be expected to do that.

It is, literally, word for word a “Covid sceptic” argument, reproduced in the mainstream, without even the tiniest hint of irony or self-awareness. The very attitude they are taking towards “vaccine injury” is the same one they have condemned in “covid deniers” for over a year. By their hypocrisy they prove their own mendacity.

If they want to define a “Covid death” as dying within 60 days of a positive test, fine. But then anyone who dies within two months of getting vaccinated is a “vaccine death”. And they should have those two big red numbers counting up, right next to each other, on the front page of every news website in the world.

And if they don’t do that – which they obviously won’t – then you have a deliberately employed double standard, and that is a tacit admission of intentional deception.

It really is just that simple.

[geohunk]

1,739 DEAD as CDC Adds Another 200+ Recorded Deaths this Week Following COVID Experimental “Vaccines”

Recorded deaths following the experimental COVID “vaccines” continued to soar this week as the CDC added more data today into the Vaccine Adverse Event Reporting System (VAERS), a U.S. Government funded database that tracks injuries and deaths caused by vaccines.

The data released by the CDC today goes through March 11, 2021, with 38,444 recorded adverse events, including 1,739 deaths following injections of the experimental COVID “vaccines.”



Besides the recorded 1,739 deaths, there were 6,716 visits to Emergency Room doctors, 734 permanent disabilities, and 3,976 hospitalizations.

Johnson and Johnson Experimental COVID “Vaccine”

Adverse reactions recorded after the third experimental COVID vaccine to be granted emergency use authorization (EUA) by the FDA, the Johnson and Johnson COVID vaccine, are starting to show now in the VAERS reporting system.

The data released today included 305 adverse reactions for the experimental Johnson and Johnson COVID vaccine.

There are no recorded deaths yet, but there are two “life threatening” events recorded.

VAERS ID: 1083232 – A 49-year-old female from Connecticut:

High Blood Pressure, Jaw Pain !0/10, headache, nausea, involuntary leg movement We are deeply concerned about getting patient the care she needs. There is a lack of urgency on the part of the hospital staff in acknowledging a connection to her receipt of vaccine and onset of adverse symptoms.

VAERS ID: 1085536 – A 45-year-old male from Florida:

Initially Fever, Fatigue, Joint Pain. 2 days later pain in right abdomen, diagnosed with Appendicitis and had emergency appendectomy performed.

32 of these cases required a visit to the Emergency Room or Emergency Doctor, including anaphylactic reactions, Guillain-Barre syndrome, arrhythmias, cardiomyopathy, hypertension, pancreatitis, seizures and fainting, among others.

It has now been 20 days since the FDA issued an EUA for the Johnson and Johnson COVID vaccine, but the CDC has yet to publish any reviews on the doses that have been administered.

[geohunk]

534 Dead 330,063 Reported Injured following COVID19 Experimental Vaccine Injections in the U.K.

The UK Government’s reporting system for COVID vaccine adverse reactions from the Medicines and Healthcare products Regulatory Agency released their latest report today, March 18, 2021.

The report covers data collected from December 9, 2020, through March 7, 2021, for the two experimental COVID vaccines currently in use in the U.K. from Pfizer and AstraZeneca.

They report a total of 534 deaths and 330,063 injuries.

For the COVID-19 mRNA Pfizer- BioNTech vaccine analysis they report:

2500 Blood disorders including 1 death
1226 Cardiac disorders including 27 deaths
5 Congenital disorder
893 Ear disorders
14 Endocrine disorders
1489 Eye disorders
11,193 Gastrointestinal disorders including 13 deaths
30,533 General disorders including 114 deaths
21 Hepatic disorders
560 Immune system disorders
2210 Infections including 38 deaths
500 Injuries including 1 death
1142 Investigations
629 Metabolic disorders including 1 death
13,624 Muscle & tissue disorders including 1 death
27 Neoplasms
19,142 Nervous system disorders including 17 deaths
39 Pregnancy conditions including 1 death
1499 Psychiatric disorders
227 Renal & urinary disorders
442 Reproductive & breast disorders
3276 Respiratory disorders including 15 deaths
7308 Skin disorders including 1 death
24 Social circumstances
67 Surgical & medical procedures
1205 Vascular disorders including 1 death
Total reactions for the COVID-19 mRNA Pfizer- BioNTech vaccine: 237 deaths and 100,809 injuries

For the COVID-19 vaccine Oxford University/AstraZeneca analysis they report:

1287 Blood disorders including 1 death
2200 Cardiac disorders including 38 deaths
19 Congenital disorders
1424 Ear disorders
42 Endocrine disorders
2499 Eye disorders
25,613 Gastrointestinal disorders including 5 deaths
80,954 General disorders including 163 deaths
41 Hepatic disorders
633 Immune system disorders
4382 Infections including 40 deaths
1086 Injuries including 1 death
2767 Investigations
2952 Metabolic disorders including 2 deaths
27,948 Muscle & tissue disorders
21 Neoplasms including 1 death
49,655 Nervous system disorders including 20 deaths
25 Pregnancy conditions
4046 Psychiatric disorders
641 Renal & urinary disorders including 1 death
354 Reproductive & breast disorders
6040 Respiratory disorders including 12 deaths
12,803 Skin disorders
52 Social circumstances
170 Surgical & medical procedures including 1 death
1843 Vascular disorders including 3 deaths
Total reactions for the COVID-19 vaccine Oxford University/AstraZenec vaccine: 289 deaths and 228,337 injuries

For the COVID-19 vaccine brand unspecified analysis they report:

3 Blood disorders
4 Cardiac disorder including 1 death
9 Ear disorders
13 Eye disorders
89 Gastrointestinal disorders
324 General disorders including 4 deaths
1 Hepatic disorders
2 Immune system disorders
13 Infections including 1 death
7 Injuries
12 Investigations
30 Metabolic disorders
87 Muscle & tissue disorders
199 Nervous system disorders
24 Psychiatric disorders
8 Renal & urinary
1 Reproductive & breast disorders
26 Respiratory disorders including 2 deaths
57 Skin disorders
1 Social circumstances
7 Vascular disorders
Total reactions for the COVID-19 vaccine brand unspecified vaccines: 8 deaths and 917 injuries.

[geohunk]

I applaud this Kiwi Doctor for explaining things in a way that most people can understand:


The Truth About PCR Tests

Jan 13, 2021

[Dotch]

What in the name of IBN is this?

[Dotch]

Anti-Vax campaign in IBN?

[geohunk]

^^NO..Lol...its called doing the research and presenting the information that you don't hear in the "mainstream media" or they won't show you on the "nightly news" and they are being purged because it goes against the "official narrative".

Like this one:

More "COVID Suicides" Than COVID Deaths In Kids
MAR 19, 2021
Authored by Micha Gartz via The American Institute for Economic Research,

Before Covid, an American youth died by suicide every six hours. Suicide is a major public health threat and a leading cause of death for those aged under 25 — one far bigger than Covid. And it is something that we have only made worse as we, led by politicians and ‘the science,’ deprived our youngest members of society — who constitute one-third of the US population — of educational, emotional and social development without their permission or consent for over a year.

And why? For what?

We were scared. We were scared for our lives and those of people we love. And, like your average German-on-the-street in the 1930s and 40s, we believed that doing what we were told and supporting the national cause would save us and our families.

The reality is we sacrificed others without a second thought. We have sacrificed our youths’ lives and future livelihoods in a desperate attempt to save a slim minority of the elderly population who have surpassed the average US life expectancy of 78.8 years and those who were already on their way out.



Source: Data from “NC-EST2019-SYASEXN: Annual Estimates of the Resident Population by Single Year of Age and Sex for the United States: April 1, 2010 to July 1, 2019.” 2020 Census.

The median age — not the average, but the middle — of Covid-deaths is 80. Covid poses minimal risk to healthy individuals under 65, and is even less of a threat to youths (those aged under 25). In fact, preliminary data suggest Covid accounted for barely 1.2% of all deaths in the under-25 age group. Graphically, that’s the solid red line along the bottom of the graph below — the one you would probably miss if I didn’t draw attention to it. The distance between that and the solid pink line across the top that caught your eye? That represents the other 98.8% of deaths that had nothing to do with Covid.


Source: Data from “Provisional COVID-19 Death Counts by Sex, Age, and Week.” CDC 2020. As data is provisional it may not include complete data for the final 8 weeks (the time period with large decline on the graph) and is subject to change.

A back-of-the-envelope calculation shows that, compared to 2018 and 2019 deaths per 100k, 2020 saw one extra death among those under age five, an additional 1.5 deaths among those aged 5 to 14, and a whopping 23 additional deaths among those aged 15 to 24. Overall, deaths per 100k in this age group jumped from 106.4 per 100k in 2019 to 131.7 per 100k during 2020. That’s an increase of 23% — and Covid only accounts for 1.2% of total deaths in ages 0–24 years.

All-Cause Deaths per 100,000 of US population under 25 years



Source: 2018/2019 data from “Mortality in the United States, 2019,” Figure 3: Death rates for ages 1 year and over: United States, 2018 and 2019; and 2020 data drawn from “Provisional COVID-19 Death Counts by Sex, Age, and Week.” 2020 data is an estimate based on the CDC’s provisional death count – which may not include complete data for the previous 8 weeks and is subject to change.

The biggest increase in youth deaths occurred in the 15-24 age bracket — the age group most susceptible to committing suicide, and which constitutes 91% of youth suicides. Indeed, as early as July 2020 — just four months into the pandemic — CDC Director Robert Redfield remarked that there has been another cost that we’ve seen, particularly in high schools. We’re seeing, sadly, far greater suicides now than we are deaths from COVID. We’re seeing far greater deaths from drug overdose.

Although complete national suicide data for 2020 likely won’t be publicly available until 2022, Redfield’s claim is supported by the increase in calls and emails witnessed by mental illness hotlines.

Between March and August the National Alliance on Mental Illness HelpLine reported a 65% increase in calls and emails. The Trevor Project — which targets suicide prevention among LGBTQ youth — saw double its usual call volume. The jump in helpline calls hadn’t let up by the end of 2020: in November Crisis Text Line received 180,000 calls — its highest volume ever, and an increase of 30,000 from the previous month. Over 90% of those were from people under 35.

Such “deaths of despair” tend to be higher among youths, particularly for those about to graduate or enter the workforce. With economic shrinkage due to lockdowns and forced closures of universities, youths face both less economic opportunity and limited social support — which plays an important role in reporting and preventing self-harm — through social networks. “We know that participation in sports and a connection to school can have a profound protective effect,” says Pittsburgh psychiatry professor David Brent. But “the stressor that COVID represents,” says University of Oregon clinical psychology professor Nick Allen,

"takes away [the] good things [in life]. You can’t go to sporting events, you can’t see your friends, you can’t go to parties. […] we’re taking away high points in people’s lives that give them reward and meaning. […] over time, the anhedonia, the loss of pleasure, is going to drive you down a lot more."

And, “while adults have had multiple years to practice stress management and build skills around that,” says YouthLine program director, Emily Moser, “young people haven’t had that.” Many of YouthLine’s callers grieved not being able to do things they normally could — from after-school activities, to spending time with friends and missing milestones such as graduations. Many of these mental health problems and suicidal behaviour created by lockdowns, “are likely to be present for longer and peak later than the actual pandemic,” according to University of Bristol suicidology expert David J. Gunnell.

Generally suicides decrease in the immediate aftermath of short-term local or national emergencies (such as hurricanes) because, as the University of Kentucky’s director of the Suicide Prevention and Exposure Laboratory, Julie Cerel, explained, “[p]eople have [a] pull-together mentality.” However, this effect appears to disintegrate over longer periods of crisis, such as in the aftermath of financial crises. Between 2008 and 2012, in the wake of the financial crisis, suicide was the second (ages 15-19) and third leading cause of youth deaths (ages 10-14 and 20-24).

In August 2020, FAIR Health found a 334% spike in intentional self-harm claims among 13–18 year olds in the Northeast compared to the same month in 2019. Nationally self-harm medical claim lines nearly doubled for this group in both March and April, while claim lines for overdoses as a percentage of all medical claim lines increased 95% and 119% percent respectively.

Indeed, during the first eight months of 2020, suicides in Los Alamos (NM) tripled while Fresno (CA) numbers jumped 70% in June 2020 compared to the same month the previous year. Even the CDC acknowledges a 31% increase in the proportion of mental health-related ER visits for 12 to 17 year olds between March and October last year compared to the previous year.

Suicide is already the 10th leading cause of death in the US, with one death for every 24 attempts. Yet we continue to sacrifice the well-being of 103.3 million youths — equivalent to roughly 31.5% of the US population — out of fear for a fraction of the 4% that live past the average life expectancy of 78.8 years.

Why are we even attempting to subject the entirety of the US population to isolation and ineffectual mask-wearing, instead of supporting voluntary focused protection for those who actually need it? And why do we continue to deny all groups the opportunity to enjoy and celebrate life when, after one year, deaths from and with Covid — number 520,000 — and are barely equivalent to 0.16% of the population?

Society needs to remember that the stolen Covid generation will one day run the country. Teachers resisting returning to class should recognize that this generation currently locked-in to bedroom Zoom classes will one day care for us in our old age. And politicians should remember that this generation whose rights have so blatantly been violated will soon be able to vote.

[Dotch]

^^NO..Lol...its called doing the research and presenting the information that you don't hear in the "mainstream media" or they won't show you on the "nightly news" and they are being purged because it goes against the "official narrative".

TLDR: Vaccine, very bad. Here is colorful graph.


I bet you just got this data from the shady part of the internet, not trusting "mainstream" media, because u know: "conspiracy theory". Did you even know someone who got the vax and got unfavorable results? i mean know him/her personally?

Whatevs man, you do you. Believe what you believe in. nobody is forcing you to have the vax.


Meanwhile, I will believe the people i know who had the vaccine namely:

1. My wife (frontliner) : 2 x Pfizer, mid February
2. Mother and Stepfather ( seniors) : 2 x Pfizer, late February
3. Titas, Titos and cousins and their families (nurses, pharmacist, health care workers) : 2x Moderna, Got them January (first roll out)
4. Co-workers and Friends : one is EMT, others are UPS Drivers, office workers, caregivers, etc.. They had at least one shot of Pfizer or Moderna
5. Real Scientists.

and oh, btw, i will have my second shot of Pfizer this April 3

all of us didnt grow an extra leg, none died, none developed long lasting symptoms. Maybe the long lasting effects are that we can get to live not fearing the uncertainty. hey maybe we can travel once again , right? good for us?

[geohunk]

TLDR: Vaccine, very bad. Here is colorful graph.


I bet you just got this data from the shady part of the internet, not trusting "mainstream" media, because u know: "conspiracy theory". Did you even know someone who got the vax and got unfavorable results? i mean know him/her personally?

Whatevs man, you do you. Believe what you believe in. nobody is forcing you to have the vax.


Meanwhile, I will believe the people i know who had the vaccine namely:

1. My wife (frontliner) : 2 x Pfizer, mid February
2. Mother and Stepfather ( seniors) : 2 x Pfizer, late February
3. Titas, Titos and cousins and their families (nurses, pharmacist, health care workers) : 2x Moderna, Got them January (first roll out)
4. Co-workers and Friends : one is EMT, others are UPS Drivers, office workers, caregivers, etc.. They had at least one shot of Pfizer or Moderna
5. Real Scientists.

and oh, btw, i will have my second shot of Pfizer this April 3

all of us didnt grow an extra leg, none died, none developed long lasting symptoms. Maybe the long lasting effects are that we can get to live not fearing the uncertainty. hey maybe we can travel once again , right? good for us?

LOL...yeaahh rrriiiigght....go keep drinking the Kool Aid. Obviously didn't even bother to even read or watch any of the things I posted(lol brashly claiming that "nobody died" or no one got any severe side effects after taking this vaccine is a fat lie), when I'm not the one making the statements or stating the evidence but rather other REAL scientists, doctors and medical journalists who aren't "paid off" or parroting the "official mainstream narrative"..but ooohhhh nooo, when it doesn't fit in with the narrative it's GOTTA be a CONSPRIRACY THEORY!!! LOL. so many brainwashed sheeple out there...thats fine..Cognitive Dissonance is a hard thing to let go...ain't trying to convince you anyway.

[geohunk]

Kids, Schools and COVID Tests — What Are the Risks?
Researchers warn of brain injury risks for millions of children who are now going to routinely undergo nasal swab tests administered by nonexperts — in some cases, by schoolchildren themselves.

Kids in the UK returned to school this month — the first step in a painfully slow easing of restrictions tabled to last months. However, this is only on the grounds that children undergo regular COVID-19 testing and follow mask mandates now extended into classrooms as well as common areas. All of which comes at a cost, both to the health and wellbeing of the children as well siphoning a whopping £78 million from tax-payers money.

But are these restrictions necessary? Research scientists from the Department of Infectious Disease at Imperial College, London, suggest not, because of the extremely low SARS-CoV-2 transmission rates in schools.

Kids — fancy poking your brains?

Some people are rightly concerned that the improper use of nasal swabs used in PCR or lateral flow testing may result in damage to the delicate membrane protecting the brain. But if you were to believe the fact-checkers, you’d assume this is nothing more than a conspiracy theory. But as has been demonstrated in many other instances, the fact checkers have got it wrong again.

There is a risk — and that risk gets greater as more and more untrained people (now including children) administer their own swabs.

In October 2020, a case report was published in JAMA Otolaryngology-Head & Neck Surgery detailing the case of a woman whose brain membrane was pierced by a COVID test swab resulting in the leakage of cerebrospinal fluid. A second woman in the U.S. recently had a similar experience. Assessing the use of nasal swabs, researchers publishing in JAMA Otolaryngology-Head & Neck Surgery issued warnings about the risks for the millions who are now routinely going to undergo tests, especially from inexpertly administered nasal swabs.

And who’s administering the nasal swabs in schools? The schoolchildren themselves! Let’s hope that when kids do it wrong, it’s because they don’t go deep enough — not too deep. What no one seems to be being told is that the cribriform plate, the significant part that separates the brain from the nasal cavity is a delicate, soft, honey-comb or sieve-like structure that is thin and narrow with tiny perforations. This is why it’s a perfect site for endoscopic transnasal skull-based surgery. But clearly it’s proven nonsense to suggest someone inept at wielding a nasal swab can’t push their swab into their brain.

Why lateral flow testing in schools is deeply misleading — and a waste of public money

Nearly 57 million lateral flow test (LFT) kits have been delivered to schools in the UK.

Concerns have been leveled at their accuracy due to the number of false positive results they return. Conversely, there are also concerns over the high levels of false negatives, although this is less of an issue as true negative rates are far lower than is generally thought. Views around the use of mass testing to detect SARS-CoV-2 are mixed with concerns that mass testing does not prevent transmission of the virus. Confusion reigns in terms of positive tests. If a child tests positive at home and a subsequent PCR test comes back negative that child can return to school.

However, if a positive LFT test has been undertaken on school premises the pupil and their contacts will have to self-isolate whether or not they have a negative PCR test as the government considers the chances of the LFT test being a false positive as minimal.

We have previously discussed the problems with PCR testing and the significantly increased likelihood of a test returning a positive result when prevalence of the virus in the community is low. The same problem applies to lateral flow tests. To illustrate this we plugged in the sensitivity and specificity data (77.8% and 99.68% respectively) from the Innova rapid flow test into the MedCalc Diagnostic test evaluation calculator. The aims were to calculate the positive predictive value (PPV) (i.e., the probability that SARS-VoV-2 is present when the test is positive) and the negative predictive value (NPV) (i.e., the probability that SARS-CoV-2 is not present when the test is negative) taking into account the low prevalence (amount) of infection in a given population.

This is important because, as we explained in our ‘Casedemic’ piece that critiqued PCR tests, Bayesian theory makes it essential that we take into account prevalence when considering the false positive and negative rates of any diagnostic test. A key fact that the UK’s health minister, Matt Hancock, just can’t seem to wrap his head around — or chooses not to.

We’ve used three prevalence rates: 0.14% (taken from NHS Test & Trace data), then halved that (0.07%) and doubled it (0.28%), to take into account variation, as prevalence is something of a moving feast.

At these prevalences, you’ll find much lower positive predictive values (PPVs) than claims around accuracy being made by the government.

For the three prevalence rates, 0.07%, 0.14% and 0.28%, the chances of a positive test successfully indicating the presence of the infection is 15%, 25% and 41%, respectively. That’s something school kids, parents and their teachers are just not being told.

The Royal Statistical Society’s COVID-19 taskforce has also raised concerns over the risk of ‘positive’ tests when infection prevalence is low. Isn’t it odd that no one seems to be listening? We’d ask again: where is the cost/benefit analysis showing that this massive purchase using taxpayers money of 57 million lateral flow test kits was justified for schools?

Spit or swab?

Nose and throat swab testing can not only potentially harm the person being tested, it’s also downright unpleasant. Is there a better way of testing? Actually there is, but we’re not hearing much about it. It involves the plethora of saliva tests that appear to be as effective as the lateral flow tests — and far easier to administer. A recent study published in the New England Journal of Medicine found that a far higher number of saliva samples were positive for up to 10 days following diagnosis of COVID-19 compared to swab samples.

Saliva tests are becoming increasingly available, but have yet to be utilized by governments.

Here are some details:

USA

-SalivaDirect — developed by Yale School of Public Health was approved for use by the U.S. Food & Drug Administration in August of last year.
-Scientists at Washington University have announced the development of a saliva test they hope could be used at scale.
-DxTerity has added a saliva based SARS-CoV-2 test to its portfolio.

UK

-Covguard saliva tests are available to UK citizens.
-Vatic Health is another UK based offering created by a team of scientists, engineers and designers.
-And if you’re looking for saliva tests that also fulfill ‘Fit to Fly’ requirements then take a look at Fitness Genes and Hydro-x.

Australia

-A team at the University of Technology, Sydney has developed a very sensitive saliva test for SARS-CoV-2 antigens that can deliver results in under 15 minutes.

[DAdmiral]

https://mobile.twitter.com/rexchapman/status/1373825026286350344?s=21

[Dotch]

LOL...yeaahh rrriiiigght....go keep drinking the Kool Aid. Obviously didn't even bother to even read or watch any of the things I posted(lol brashly claiming that "nobody died" or no one got any severe side effects after taking this vaccine is a fat lie), when I'm not the one making the statements or stating the evidence but rather other REAL scientists, doctors and medical journalists who aren't "paid off" or parroting the "official mainstream narrative"..but ooohhhh nooo, when it doesn't fit in with the narrative it's GOTTA be a CONSPRIRACY THEORY!!! LOL. so many brainwashed sheeple out there...thats fine..Cognitive Dissonance is a hard thing to let go...ain't trying to convince you anyway.

Blah blah blah...big words, little substance. Ok, your vocabulary is vast and you have a quick access to the thesaurus, i will give you that.

Lets check back Sept 2021.....then again, after a year Mar 2022.

IF i dont reply, then that means im dead. or probably developed a brain tumor. If you keep on brandishing your QAnon teachings after a year, AND im still well, i hope stop posting non-sense and go away.

Let's do this!

[geohunk]

Blah blah blah...big words, little substance. Ok, your vocabulary is vast and you have a quick access to the thesaurus, i will give you that.

Lets check back Sept 2021.....then again, after a year Mar 2022.

IF i dont reply, then that means im dead. or probably developed a brain tumor. If you keep on brandishing your QAnon teachings after a year, AND im still well, i hope stop posting non-sense and go away.

Let's do this!

Lol...I dont even listen to Qanon. It doesnt even have to be you who develops a condition or what...and its silly for me or anyone to hope harm comes in someones way to prove a point, especially not when the numbers of adverse reactions or deaths will continue to steadily increase on the VAERS database or the UK yellow card reporting system, so your nonsense dare is in bad taste.

[DAdmiral]

OK let's assume the risk of taking vacines is higher than being reported.

The question is (For Philippines
1. How do you open up the economy?
2. How do you address the hospital overload currently, this is fact, hope I don't need to dig up numbers
3. Let's forget severe sickness #s and deaths, (despite the obvious data) as some are ignoring.

So what's the solution? It's easy to cite some erroneous things, but what actually are your solutions?

Just ignore? , well that certainly has had a negative outcome. If it hasn't then why is the business and the rest not back to normal like it is in some nations that addressed the problem