Here’s 6 tips for picking the perfect March Madness bracket

Reaching for the sky and have your eyes on picking the perfect March Madness bracket? It’s a given that most March Madness brackets will likely get busted during the first weekend of the NCAA Tournament.

There’s a  variety of reasons why busted brackets are crumpled up and tossed in the wastebasket so soon in the tourney. There’s plenty of hopefuls that stop looking at their bracket because the team they picked to go all the way got their asses kicked in the second round.

Can all these dashed hopes be avoided? What are the reasons?  We think its mix of things: poor decision-making because you picked with your heart instead of your brain (the right side), or chose your bracket because the mascots or conference names were scary animals, or maybe because you haven’t paid much attention to NCAA Basketball until the last few days.

The odds of picking the perfect bracket aren’t impossible theoretically, but they’re pretty slim. We’re talking the thinner than if an molecule-could-shave-razor-thin. In any case, if you’re still convinced you got it in you, you’ll want every tip to increase your chances. Follow these tips when penciling in your empty March Madness brackets.

Choosing the Perfect March Madness Bracket

The Perfect Bracket Tip #1: Study the Last 10 Games for Each Team

This will help you get a better understanding of where the teams are in terms of ability, stamina and confidence before the NCAA Tournament. The recency factor matters during March Madness. Break down each team’s stats over their last 10 games, including their win-loss record, how many games have they won or lost in a row and see if any of their star players is out with an injury.

If a team heads into the NCAA Tournament with a 6-4 record over their last 10 games and no injuries, they have a better chance to win than a higher-ranked team with an 8-2 record but missing one of their star players, even if they were dominant during the regular season. Also look at the amount of points by which they won or lost their games.

The Perfect Bracket Tip #2: Use Larger Sample Sizes for Streaking Teams

Look at the teams with current winning streaks and even if their performances over their last 10 games are impressive, don’t ignore what they’ve done over the entire season. Teams that win consistently, stringing together winning streaks regularly are better picks than teams that are on a roll only at the end of the season.

Here’s an example, let’s suppose that a team with a 10-0 record over their last 10 games is playing a team with a 7-3 record in the same span, but the team that just went 10-0 doesn’t have a similar winning streak over the rest of the season while the 7-3 team had many. In this case you should go to the most secure sites according to SBR trusted sportsbooks and put your money on the team that went 7-3 and had frequent winning streaks over the years.

The Perfect Bracket Tip #3: Strength of Schedule

Don’t just look at a team’s record, also consider their schedule. In NCAA Basketball, teams are separated into conferences around the country and inevitably, some of the teams that are invited to the NCAA Tournament play weaker opponents during the regular season while others have to play stronger rivals. Being in the Pac-12 and being in the Big West Conference is very different. For example, a Big West team with a 16-2 record in conference play has less value than a Pac-12 team with a 16-2 record in conference play.

Always go back and analyze who the teams played and how they performed against tougher teams and against teams outside their conference. Consider this information as you make your NCAA Basketball picks.

The Perfect Bracket Tip #4: Back Teams That Win on the Road

Remember that in March Madness, every game is a road game. Sometimes top seeds have the luxury of starting the tournament close to home, but it’s extremely important to look at how each team performed away from home during the regular season. This is perhaps the most decisive factor in the NCAA Tournament. How important it is? Well, the 2011-12 Kentucky Wildcats went 11-2 in road games during the regular season and they won each NCAA Tournament game by eight or more points.

The Perfect Bracket Tip #5: Shooting percentages

Study the offensive stats of the teams because free-throws and three-pointers can be difference-makers in close games and help overcome deficits. The assists per game averages are also important because assists indicate if a team has the ability to create opportunities, work well together and adjust to an opponents’ defense.

The Perfect Bracket Tip #6: Luck

If you can, put some good out in the world because you’re going to need as much good luck to predict the outcomes of more than three dozen games. That’s including a mix of favorites and unforeseen upsets.

The Easy Part is Picking

But nothing is unforeseen, if you’ve “foreseen” it. You have right?

Take these tips and apply generously. Repeat. Really, the easy part is actually picking the teams, the hard part is getting them right because anything can happen during March Madness; there’s a reason why they don’t call it “March Predictable”.

So here’s a slap on the back, a quarter and a “good luck” on picking that perfect tournament bracket, buddy. You’re going to need it (but we have faith in you!)

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