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  1. #521
    Senior Member Adon's Avatar
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    Quote Originally Posted by Killer Bob View Post
    I had given him much more precise prediction, more than Italy(x-11)- lover mortality because of demographics.
    OK, it's precise, you are talking about 4,000 deaths.

  2. #522
    Senior Member Killer Bob's Avatar
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    Quote Originally Posted by Adon View Post
    OK, it's precise, you are talking about more than 4,000 deaths.
    We have first agree on k(influence of lover mortality).
    previously known as Beno

  3. #523
    Senior Member Killer Bob's Avatar
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    Btw. US is going to get in the lead today. From 1.000 to 80.000 in 15 days.
    previously known as Beno

  4. #524
    Senior Member Adon's Avatar
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    Quote Originally Posted by Killer Bob View Post
    We have first agree on k(influence of lover mortality).
    WTF is "lover mortality"? Is it "lower" instead of "lover" perhaps?

  5. #525
    Senior Member Killer Bob's Avatar
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    Quote Originally Posted by Adon View Post
    WTF is "lover mortality"? Is it "lower" instead of "lover" perhaps?
    Yes, my bad.
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  6. #526
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    It’s like pulling teeth with this clown. Just give up. Can’t you see that he is treating his number like some highly guarded trade secret ? What a complete buffoon. Spit it out already. Grow a sack.
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  7. #527
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    Quote Originally Posted by Killer Bob View Post
    Btw. US is going to get in the lead today. From 1.000 to 80.000 in 15 days.
    He’s really good at stuff like this. But when it comes to the discussion of translating into deaths he doesn’t want to play God and kill people. He will just let the others that he quotes do that. Again grow a pair.
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  8. #528
    Senior Member Adon's Avatar
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    Quote Originally Posted by Killer Bob View Post
    Yes, my bad.
    When you used it for a second time, I thought I was missing something

  9. #529
    Senior Member Killer Bob's Avatar
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    Quote Originally Posted by Adon View Post
    When you used it for a second time, I thought I was missing something
    Shit happens.
    previously known as Beno

  10. #530
    Senior Member radallo's Avatar
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    Quote Originally Posted by Killer Bob View Post
    We have first agree on k(influence of lover mortality).
    avg. age is not the only demographic component to look at.. health preconditions are important too..

    tough call
    EUROLEAGUEADDICTED

  11. #531
    Senior Member Killer Bob's Avatar
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    Quote Originally Posted by radallo View Post
    avg. age is not the only demographic component to look at.. health preconditions are important too..

    tough call
    To be honest we don't need that number, R for last 4 days, before it was to violative, is 0.16, but 4 days is kinda short period to make a bet. Adon has made as safe bet as possible.

    I believe that Italian mortality rate can be higher than some other countries, but is not that high like it looks now. You have just very big number of undetected cases.
    Last edited by Killer Bob; 03-26-2020 at 10:15 PM.
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  12. #532
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    It's really sad that this country is so fucked that there will probably be more dead people if they lose their jobs than if you let the virus run freely. It's truly sad.

    I really hope this is a huge slap in America's face so that there can finally be a serious discussion about benefits.

    What usagre said some pages ago sums it up "They make more money, so they will have no incentive to go to work". It really fits the individualism in this country.
    People don't really know that those on disability (or unemployment) are actually ashamed that they are not being useful. They think "oh, free money, people like that". No.

    I really grew up dreaming to come and live here. But now that I'm thinking of starting a family I can see its ugly head.
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  13. #533
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    Quote Originally Posted by paspalj View Post

    I really hope this is a huge slap in America's face so that there can finally be a serious discussion about benefits.

    What usagre said some pages ago sums it up "They make more money, so they will have no incentive to go to work". It really fits the individualism in this country.
    People don't really know that those on disability (or unemployment) are actually ashamed that they are not being useful. They think "oh, free money, people like that". No.
    Sorry Paspalj but you are being extremely naive. There are plenty of people that get lazy and fall into the easy trap of government dependency. Sure there are many people ashamed of public assistance like food stamps and such but I also know plenty that couldn’t care less and like the free handout and have the mentality that if it’s there I am gonna get mine.

    This country was and always has been unique in relation to the rest of the world when it comes to free healthcare. It’s not new so I am surprised if you are just discovering it.
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  14. #534
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    Quote Originally Posted by usagre View Post
    Sorry Paspalj but you are being extremely naive. There are plenty of people that get lazy and fall into the easy trap of government dependency. Sure there are many people ashamed of public assistance like food stamps and such but I also know plenty that couldn’t care less and like the free handout and have the mentality that if it’s there I am gonna get mine.

    This country was and always has been unique in relation to the rest of the world when it comes to free healthcare. It’s not new so I am surprised if you are just discovering it.
    Well, policies are not made for some minority that will always find a way to mooch of public assistance. That shouldn’t be the criterion. You say that it’s stupid to pay them for for doing nothing, I say pay them a livable wage.
    But it’s not just that. Take for example student debt forgiveness. There is always a boomer that will show up informing the rest how they worked their way through college and bought a house. That was when college was $5, jobs paid a livable wage and buying a house was actually a thing that you could do without bleeding through the ass.

    Yes, I knew the situation of healthcare, I didn’t find out about it now. But it’s only after you live in it that you realize the craziness. I speak from a very privileged spot by the way. My state insurance is phenomenal. Also, Rutgers is surprisingly socialist in that regard. We all have the same insurance but we pay premiums that are proportionate to our income! What? Fist up New Jersey <3

    I was mostly talking about things like parental leave (non existent, also if you bring up that you want a year off to stay with your kid you are lazy) or the fact that if you don’t live in a good school district (because you know, rent will be through the roof) you really have to send your kid to private school.
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  15. #535
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    @Paspalj

    It’s not a perfect system. It has its faults. But honestly I wouldn’t want to live anywhere else in the world if I had the option.
    I didn’t say it’s stupid to pay them for doing nothing. I am saying it’s stupid to actually get paid more than you were before as a consequence of this crisis. It’s illogical and ridiculous. At best under these circumstances I would draw the line at getting full assistance in unemployment of what you are losing out. It can’t be more. On another note incidentally a recent.NewJersey law now allows for paternity leave. I have a friend that basically took the entire summer off and got paid to be with his wife and his newborn.

    I disagree with student loan forgiveness. I don’t think the payments are set up in a way that prevents you from succeeding down the road. I speak from personal experience on that. Again this country is different than most of the world in that regard.

    I was a Democrat my entire life. Ever since I could vote starting in 1992 I voted that way. But as I matured and started a family I started to look at things differently. You know the saying if you’re a conservative before 30 you have no heart and a liberal after that you have no brain. I think there is some truth to that.

    Too much government dependency and assistance is not a great thing. In the 1950’s the African American divorce rate/ two parent household was better than that of a white married couple. Do you know what changed ? Government handouts led to a less need to sustain such a family. A pregnant woman did not need a potential husband/father in order to support her family. She became married to the government. And fatherless homes lead to children taking the wrong path and in turn to crime and poverty.
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  16. #536
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    @usagre

    Look I’m going to be be very brief. I respect your levelheadedness (if that’s even a word) and your respectful answers but these are things that we probably fundamentally disagree on and this is not a proper forum to discuss them. So, very briefly:

    If your job pays you $2 an hour, should government assistance keep that oppression going? No, I don’t think so.
    Education is a right, and as such, it should be offered. Just because you don’t think that people have serious problems or even because you made smart choices and got out of it (congrats) doesn’t make it less of a problem. I’m very seriously considering that my kids should learn Greek and French so we can have an option to send them to school in Europe. Undergrad education has nothing to be jealous of (if you exclude the MITs and the Caltechs) and is free.

    I know the saying and I completely disagree. Again, too large of an issue to be discussed here. I have actually made my father in law mad so many times that my wife has made me swear to not start political shit anymore I do think I have some brain though.

    Your last part must be a joke for sure. Why would you ever stay with a spouse just because you need them to support you?! If that’s not the prime example of an unhappy marriage I don’t know what is.

    I’ll stop here. I hope you are doing well but I really think these major issues will bite the US in the butt in the near future. Another saying goes “If your neighbor is hungry, he’ll eat you one day”.
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  17. #537
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    Quote Originally Posted by paspalj View Post

    Your last part must be a joke for sure. Why would you ever stay with a spouse just because you need them to support you?! If that’s not the prime example of an unhappy marriage I don’t know what is.
    I respect your point of view and yes we fundamentally disagree on a lot. And there nothing wrong with that. It doesn’t make you wrong or me right. Unfortunately in today’s climate my point of view is usually shouted down or even censored. That’s un American plain wrong.

    Just to clarify my earlier point. I was trying to illustrate that a woman was less likely to become pregnant if she had serious doubts on whether the father would be there or be supportive. They knew that without that it would be difficult if not impossible to raise that kid adequately. But as a result of massive welfare programs that changed. Again the father could be substituted by the government and that in turn led to many one parent homes.
    Silver medal 2012 Olympics prediction game.

  18. #538
    Efes fan Levenspiel's Avatar
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    Quote Originally Posted by Adon View Post
    The worshipers of free market have other priorities and not the well being of people, as always. See Boris and his policy towards the pandemic.
    Coronavirus: Prime Minister Boris Johnson tests positive

    hey, I wish the same for Trump now, and for someoe else, who actually could die, too. I won't feel bad at all.
    5 out 6 scientists say Russian roulette is safe.

  19. #539
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    Quote Originally Posted by Levenspiel View Post
    Coronavirus: Prime Minister Boris Johnson tests positive

    hey, I wish the same for Trump now, and for someoe else, who actually could die, too. I won't feel bad at all.
    Yeah not just Trump and Johnson here is wishing to everyone that politically disagrees with Levenspiels personal political views gets sick and dies. What a pathetic sad commentary.
    Silver medal 2012 Olympics prediction game.

  20. #540
    Senior Member vivo's Avatar
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    Quote Originally Posted by Levenspiel View Post
    Coronavirus: Prime Minister Boris Johnson tests positive

    hey, I wish the same for Trump now, and for someoe else, who actually could die, too. I won't feel bad at all.
    I know who you mean, and I second this. The downside is they could become "heroes" after death, but upside outweighs that.
    Dilimde şarkıların gündüz gece
    Deli gibi aşığız Fenerbahçe
    Bu dünyayı yakarız senin için
    Şampiyonluk gelince

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