NBA Betting - How to Beat the Spread

[durden_tyler]

Are you in?

Sports betting i mean.

Let's discuss the lines here. We might have a contest or two in the future if we get enough activity.

SAS @ TOR +7.5
PHI + 2.5 @ ORL
DET+9.5 @ BOS
MEM @ NJN +3
SAC +6.5 @ NYK
IND @ CLE OTB
NOH +9.5 @ MIL
OKC @ HOU +3
CHA @ MIN OTB
DEN +7 @ DAL
ATL @ PHO +2
POR + 3 @ GSW
WAS +14 @ LAC

[tewkyhoops]

Most of the lines look about right, couple of standouts for me though.

Boston I think should be -11ish Garnett is out but they have enough to make a team and not feel it too much.
Phoenix at home seem okay as well at +2, think it is more like a pick game.

Hard to judge these lines lately, this week alone lots of teams on 3 game back to back stints, hard to know how to adjust for these things in looking at the lines. Interesting season with the lockout enforced schedule.

[durden_tyler]

Most of the lines look about right, couple of standouts for me though.

Boston I think should be -11ish Garnett is out but they have enough to make a team and not feel it too much.
Phoenix at home seem okay as well at +2, think it is more like a pick game.

Hard to judge these lines lately, this week alone lots of teams on 3 game back to back stints, hard to know how to adjust for these things in looking at the lines. Interesting season with the lockout enforced schedule.

Yeah the back to backs are very tricky. Even Unders off B2B's are not a sure thing (compared to previous non-lockout seasons)

Getting burned by Orlando early (picked PHI+3.5) but the under looks good though the blowout might change the pace of scoring...

Let's start having a contest, twekyhoops got other picks?

MEM @ NJN +3
SAC +6.5 @ NYK
NOH +9.5 @ MIL
OKC @ HOU +3
DEN +7 @ DAL
ATL @ PHO +2
POR + 3 @ GSW
WAS +14 @ LAC

[tewkyhoops]

Only had those 2 for tonight, no lines out for tomorrow yet, scaredy cat bookies Granger is concern for Indiana, Garnett for Boston, Rose probably wont play for the Bulls, ALdridge wont play for portland, so dont know why that one is down. Guess lines will be out 16:00 CET tomorrow.

Note to self - Boston dont have a deep bench like you thought, new year, depleted roster, O'Neal shadow of his former self. On reflection terrible pick, but we live and learn

[durden_tyler]

Only had those 2 for tonight, no lines out for tomorrow yet, scaredy cat bookies Granger is concern for Indiana, Garnett for Boston, Rose probably wont play for the Bulls, ALdridge wont play for portland, so dont know why that one is down. Guess lines will be out 16:00 CET tomorrow.

Note to self - Boston dont have a deep bench like you thought, new year, depleted roster, O'Neal shadow of his former self. On reflection terrible pick, but we live and learn

Live and learn indeed (Trusting Iggy and Sixers on the road too much on my end)


Escaped MEM @ NJN +3 as it looked like the Nets were really trying hard to get that W...
SAC +6.5 @ NYK - Thank you Lin
NOH +9.5 @ MIL - i expected an ATS win but not that W... Same as... OKC @ HOU +3
DEN +7 @ DAL - That was almost a gimme.

And waiting for results on the ff:
ATL @ PHO +2
POR + 3 @ GSW
WAS +14 @ LAC

The good news? 5-0 so far! The bad news? i had the minimum bet for each today (i usually bet x3, x4 for bets i really like) so it's possible that i only add minimum to the bankroll...

[durden_tyler]

Add: 5-1 including PHI + 3.5

[durden_tyler]

Late lines released for today's games i had no time to bet.

How you doing, tewkyhoops?