Really interesting game. I would give a slight edge, maybe 55-45, to Serbia due to superior depth and more experience in games like this. On the other end Croatia is in better shape, already beating teams like Spain, Italy, Greece, Lithuania and Brazil, while Serbia is still searching for thier high-profile victory this summer.
As i see it, Serbia has the problem with Bojan/Saric combo defensively. Bogdanovic struggled against Lithuania when matched up against a guy of his size/strenght in Maciulis. Serbia has no that type of player. Bogdan is not as big and strong as Bojan, and if you put Kalinic on Bogdanovic, who could bother him with his tenacity and lenght, then there is noone to defend Saric since Bircevic and Macvan are not up to the par defensively. I guess you just hope that Saric has one of those games when he is missing jumpers left and right, and adjust accordingly.
Croatia on the other hand has big problem with Jokic-Raduljica duo. That could really decide the game. Bilan has been the most disappointing member of the Croatian national team, and he has struggled mightly in a friendly game against Raduljica prior to the tournament. Planinic is better defensively, but he is also not quite as big as either of serbian centers.
Two jokers are ofcourse Teodosic and Simon. Both are extremely important to thier teams with thier ability to run pick and roll and get the ball movement going. Croatia is going to try to stop Milos with two solid defenders with lenght in Ukic and Babic, while Serbia is equipeed to tire Simon out with thier assortment of speedy guard defenders.
As i see it, Serbia has the problem with Bojan/Saric combo defensively. Bogdanovic struggled against Lithuania when matched up against a guy of his size/strenght in Maciulis. Serbia has no that type of player. Bogdan is not as big and strong as Bojan, and if you put Kalinic on Bogdanovic, who could bother him with his tenacity and lenght, then there is noone to defend Saric since Bircevic and Macvan are not up to the par defensively. I guess you just hope that Saric has one of those games when he is missing jumpers left and right, and adjust accordingly.
Croatia on the other hand has big problem with Jokic-Raduljica duo. That could really decide the game. Bilan has been the most disappointing member of the Croatian national team, and he has struggled mightly in a friendly game against Raduljica prior to the tournament. Planinic is better defensively, but he is also not quite as big as either of serbian centers.
Two jokers are ofcourse Teodosic and Simon. Both are extremely important to thier teams with thier ability to run pick and roll and get the ball movement going. Croatia is going to try to stop Milos with two solid defenders with lenght in Ukic and Babic, while Serbia is equipeed to tire Simon out with thier assortment of speedy guard defenders.
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