Announcement

Collapse
No announcement yet.

Profitable thread

Collapse
X
 
  • Filter
  • Time
  • Show
Clear All
new posts

  • Profitable thread

    Hello.
    My first post. I want write my bets. Few years experience with bookies.
    Let's start

    i took -5 Lokomotiv @ 1.81 Marathonbet 3/10.
    I dont trust Laboral on away, for me Nocioni is one true big leader in Scariolo team.
    If he will not play at his level , guests lost in offensive 30-40%.
    Maric back to game, so Pashutin have full roster and i think very important is good defensive against Nocioni and hosts have good defenders against him.

    GL


    PS. sorry for my bad english
    Last edited by DWill8; 11-14-2013, 08:52 PM. Reason: 85:84 ---

  • #2
    Kotwica Kolobrzeg - PGE Turow Zgorzelec
    2(-7)
    1.8
    pinnacle
    5/10


    I must took again pick on Turow, because line was for me too low.
    Kotwica in home is mediocre team. They have very short bench than Turow.
    Bench Turow always in PLK will be big advatnage against teams bottom table. Especially polish roster can make big difference.
    I dont know line is less than 10 pts, really. I think line will be -/+10.
    But Turow with much quality player playing on 60-70% can cover this line. For me Kotwica is same level like Jezioro Tarnobrzeg or Polpharma. Turow against Jezioro won 86:65 and won against Polpharma 86:64.
    Good example here is game Kotwica - Czarni of 19.10.13 , where hosts lead after 20 minutes 36:30, but 2nd half lost 26:47. Czarni and Turow have similiar potential. Maybe Czarni little better played in defense, but on the other hand Turow play better in offensive, so Kotwica with short roster and without defense.
    I worried only Turow play 18.11.2013 VTB in home against Enisey, so maybe in Kolobrzeg will play relax. but games against Kotwica are similiar like with AZS in Koszalin. From few seasons games for Turow in Kolobrzeg are though, but only this season won in Koszalin no problem (more than 20 pts).

    GL
    Last edited by DWill8; 11-14-2013, 08:52 PM. Reason: 69:93 +++

    Comment


    • #3
      Yesterday +1u

      Ehh,sorry i forgot added pick from PLK over 152 Rosa - Kotwica, but my info and knowledge can check here: http://forum.bettingadvice.com/showthread.php?t=83361 -> this is my topic from start Polish League Basketball.

      Today Crvena -6 @ 1.92 3/10 pinnacle, im sorry that pick is without exploatation, but im very busy now.

      Comment


      • #4
        Czarni Slupsk - Asseco Gdynia
        1(-10)
        1.8
        pinnacle
        8/10



        Hosts are 2 levels better than Asseco.
        In the middle of the week Czarni played in Slupsk (Polish Cup), and won 69:77 - they played without three players from S5 - Trice, Wright and Nowakowski.
        Nowakowski had a free day due to child was borned.
        As i know today Urlep has full roster against Asseco.
        In the last round Czarni lost in Wroclaw, so im sure today they are hungry for victory.
        Czarni avg. fouls commited 18 and received 20. Guests FC: 23, FR: 18.
        Backourt Slupsk is much more fast and much more athletic . Game will be stay for sign defense, and Slupsk with 'twin towers' - Stutz&Wright are very dangerous, because guests dont any answer for Slupsk frontcourt and backcrout.
        I think line shoulde be +/- 15.
        PIR Czarni is 40, Asseco 15.

        Under rim big advantage and on point guard position for Czarni. Tomasz Snieg (Czarni Slupsk) played for Asseco in last season, so i think he should be very mobilized. Stats from game Trefl - Czarni (Polish Cup) 4pts, 10as, 7FoulsReceived. On PG for Czarni are Trice - Snieg - Hulls. On the other side only AJ Price, backup for Price isnt same level, so against Czarni with good defense is another big problem for guests.
        The only one chance Czarni dont cover line is ignoring rivals.

        GL
        Last edited by DWill8; 11-20-2013, 05:00 PM.

        Comment


        • #5
          Ehh due to hack site, few good bets missed in this topic for example bet with highest stake Stelmet Zielona Gora - Anwil Wloclawek 1(-9.5) @ 1.88 10/10, bet won !
          You can check my all pick since site was hacked, here:http://forum.bettingadvice.com/showt...t=83361&page=5
          here https://twitter.com/insiderteameu and here https://www.facebook.com/typybukmacherskie.dwill

          Today bets:

          WKS Slask Wroclaw - AZS Koszalin
          1(-5)
          1.84
          Marathon
          2/10


          over 156 @ 1.86 pinnacle 2/10

          First of all. 17.11 AZS played on away against on of the weakest team. I wrote Jezioro was weakest team, because i believed AZS with new coach will play better, but bet on AZS was my biggest mistakes.
          Koszalin - Tarnobrzeg = 700 km, Tarnobrzeg Wroclaw = 450 km.
          In game Koszalin in Tarnobrzeg there was no sign of improvement (unluckily). Polish players are poorly composed, very.
          I think game against WKS it will be possible last game for few players in Koszalin. Koszalin need change few players... "from yesterday".
          Guards AZS Dunn - Brandwein - Henry looks like joke in defense.
          For me hosts guards are in better shape. Gibson and Johnson are fast, so against "defense" that does not exist in AZS Koszalin - i expect many free throws.
          Gabinski, Skibniewski, Sulima, Hyzy, Kikowski - maybe aren't great but against Mielczarek, Woloszyn, Bialek, Brandwein looks one level above in current from polish players from Koszalin.

          Slask stay as before without good center, but guests dont have good centers too. New players in Koszalin - Labovic is good transfer, but he need time to regain good form.

          Skibniewski have little bruised knee, as i know he should play less minutes, so if more minutes for Gibson and Johnson = more fast actions and more shoots from outside - especially by Gibson.
          I hope Lazic watched last game AZS Koszalin and one of key for win in today games should be fast actions, because defense in Koszalin is unknown concept.

          Something tells me AZS 'wake up' in this game, because as i wrote above - i feel game against WKS may be the last for several players from Koszalin, so maybe they will be more motivated.

          Fans in Wroclaw are hot, so support is another advantage.

          Yes i have info from Wroclaw, but this is Polish Cup - in 90% line for over was covered, today against team which prefer fast action and AZS will poor shape.
          Even if two bets are lost im sure bets were good, because AZS from few season on away sucks - yes, I will not forget the rest of the season loss AZS in Tarnobrzeg.
          In 2nd round in league in game Jezioro Tarnobrzeg - WKS Slask Wroclaw 74:89, but day before yesterday Jezioro - AZS 95:78.


          GL!
          Last edited by DWill8; 11-20-2013, 05:00 PM.

          Comment


          • #6
            PolishCup, 19:00 CET
            Energa Czarni Slupsk - Trefl Sopot
            1(-1)
            1.88
            8/10


            In first game Czarni won in Sopot 77:69. Additionaly Czarni played without 3 very important players Trice, Nowakowski and Wright. Today everyone are available. Only Tomasz Snieg is game time decision (problem with ankle). Urlep want Tomasz will played, but managment and Tomasz negative inclined to the decision, because 24.11 is very imporatnt game for Slupsk in Zgorzelec against PGE Turow.

            I think Czarni are better team because domain this team is great defense. Two very good player under rim Wright and Stutz. Stutz was bez player in first game scored 27 pts and grabbed 10 rbs.
            Home ground is big advantage for Czarni, because Gryfia hall is alwyas hot.
            I worried only condition head of players from Slupsk because thay have 8 pts advantage and before revenge is big advantage, but if Urlep want Snieg will play im sure he want win in home.

            GL
            Last edited by DWill8; 11-20-2013, 10:41 PM.

            Comment


            • #7
              Originally posted by DWill8 View Post
              In first game Czarni won in Sopot 77:69. Additionaly Czarni played without 3 very important players Trice, Nowakowski and Wright. Today everyone are available. Only Tomasz Snieg is game time decision (problem with ankle). Urlep want Tomasz will played, but managment and Tomasz negative inclined to the decision, because 24.11 is very imporatnt game for Slupsk in Zgorzelec against PGE Turow.

              I think Czarni are better team because domain this team is great defense. Two very good player under rim Wright and Stutz. Stutz was bez player in first game scored 27 pts and grabbed 10 rbs.
              Home ground is big advantage for Czarni, because Gryfia hall is alwyas hot.
              I worried only condition head of players from Slupsk because thay have 8 pts advantage and before revenge is big advantage, but if Urlep want Snieg will play im sure he want win in home.

              GL
              over 149 @ 1.89 pinnacle 3/10
              Last edited by DWill8; 11-20-2013, 10:41 PM.

              Comment


              • #8
                AZS - Polpharma
                For AZS back after injury Piotr Dabrowski and Darrell Harris. Polish players in previous games played poor, but Piotrek back, so rotation is better. Harris and Sykes is good roster against Cezary Trybanski, because for Polpharma he's most dangerous.

                Outside defense in Polpharma is very weak, so if coach Okorn let Oded Brandwein to S5 is good. This game maybe will last game - due to bad start of season in Koszalin

                Managmenet Polpharma said coach Budzinauskas have three games convince to stay, but i think players are not happy with Budzinauskas - coach get into a fight with one of players Polpharma.

                Asseco - Rosa
                I think Rosa is better player. Better and more experienced and most important for me position under rim for Rosa is huge advantage - Kirk Archibeque and Kim Adams.

                Gdynia play good defense and Rosa like play fast, it's very interesting game today and we got answer- how really strong is Rosa on away.

                Anwil - Jezioro
                Anwil advantage is home ground and positions under rim - Hajric and Clanton. Jezioro played better in previous games.

                I think handicap is too high because Anwil in home when he lead 15+ always play unequel. Guests have good rotation on PG - Marcin Nowakowski and Chaisse Simon.

                AZS - Polpharma 1(-5) @ 1.85 bet365 2/10
                Anwil - Jezioro 2(+14.5) @ 1.82 pinnacle 3/10
                Asseco - Rosa 2(+2) @ 1.83 marathonbet 4/10
                Last edited by DWill8; 11-24-2013, 03:58 PM.

                Comment


                • #9
                  PGE Turow Zgorzelec - Energa Czarni Slupsk
                  2(+8)
                  1.97
                  Marathonbet
                  3/10

                  over 146 @ 1.93 pinnacle 3/10

                  Hosts from start season had easy schedule and all previous games was agains team bottm table like Jezioro, Kotwica, Polpharma, AZS Koszalin. In home lost against Anwil Wloclawek

                  Czarni now on 2nd place with 5-1, but Turow on 6th place with 4-1. For me game of the week in PLK. Big tests for Turow.

                  I think guests have few advantages against Turow:
                  1. Play much better defense, Urlep is very good coach on PLK, he read perfeclty opponents , so if apply defense which prevents play fast basketball by Turow - i guess this should be the key for this game for team from Slupsk.
                  2. Centers in Slupsk are better than roster Turow under rim. Another advantage for Slupsk, because Kulig, Zigeranovic are poor defenders under rim.
                  3. Rotation point guard. Czarni have Trice, Snieg and Hulls. Duo Trice-Snieg in 90% play uqual level, but Hulls 'exploded' in game in midweek against Trefl in home. He was best scorer in this game with 22 pts. I think this game added mor self-confidence for Jordan Hulls.

                  Turow on PG have only Tony Taylor and against team which prefer good defense he have many time foul trouble.
                  I see chance for Turow:
                  Turow play in home so if from start game dominate with fast basketball - is advantage for coach Rajkovic, but Czarni are able to adept for opponents, so roster in PG on C , for me are key in this game.

                  Urlep Urlep was coach of team from Zgorzelec in 2009/2010 season, so it's additional taste for this game. With Urlep play Michal Jankowski, Mateusz Jarmakowicz- ex Turow players, Michal Jankowski is very important player in Urlep rotation, because Mateusz was suspended for previous game for trash talking with coach in the locker room. Today is questionable - Jarmakowicz.



                  WKS Slask Wroclaw - Stelmet Zielona Gora
                  2(-8)
                  1.87
                  pinnacle
                  3/10

                  Stelmet after won in Bayern have great chemistry in team, so Stelmet is 2 levels better than today opponents and they can destroy hosts only by chemistry in team.
                  Huge advantage for guests is under rim, where more time spent Thompson, which is one the weakest center in league.
                  Polish roster is very unequal - especially Pawel Kikowski.
                  Stelmet have 3 levels better roster in polish players - Koszarek, Zamojski, Cel, Chanas and Sroka.
                  Probably hosts should be more motivated for this game because from this game is nationwide broadcast.
                  If defense guests will not for 3pts shooting hosts - chance for Stelmet win more by 10 pts is 30% more.

                  GL!
                  Last edited by DWill8; 11-27-2013, 02:37 PM.

                  Comment


                  • #10
                    Rosa Radom - PGE Turow Zgorzelec
                    2(-6.5)
                    1.85
                    bet365
                    5/10

                    over 152.5 @ 1.85 betsson 5/10


                    For Turow the main advantage in PLK is playing r&g. Rosa Radom is only offensive team, where backcourt players are very weak in defense and Rosa mainly based on 3pts shooting.
                    Gime-time decision in Rosa is very important polish player - Lukasz Majewski (7 games, avg. 8 pts and 3 rbs).
                    I think in S5 for Rosa playing Jakub Dloniak - best scorer in last season, but now he's shadow player from previous season, because in Tarnobrzeg he was leader and most time played with ball in hand. In Rosa situation is strongly different. But he break team play and he gives shoots in 5s action.
                    If Dloniak playing for S5 and on the other side playing JP Prince in S5 for Turow - I expect 30% more chance for over.
                    Turow with Prince in S5 played more fast and played more fastbreaks - i think Turow in this element is best team in league.
                    Dloniak in 2 last game was in S5 and record Rosa is 1-1.
                    Prince in PLK played in last 4 games in S5 for Turow and record Turow is 4-0. JP Prince scored avg. 14 pts, 5.5rbs and Turow avg. win is 18 pts.

                    The next two games in VTB Turow playing in 'home', for me it's very impotant fact, because another games they will play thousands kilometers from home. So points in league now are important, because after two games 'in home' - a lot of time spend in a plane + time zone changes = tired and more power for domestic league and more chance for negative restuls in PLK.
                    I'm afraid only about position under rim. For Turow only Damian Kulig is on fire, for hosts Kirk Archibeque is solid center, his replacement - Kim Adams - is only good rebounder.
                    I think if Rosa have not good day with 3pts shooting are on the same level like Kotwica, Jezioro.
                    For me key for win Turow is good start, because against weak teams on away they slowly come into the match, so if Rosa play effective on first seconds game will be very clos for the last seconds. I hope Turow should take the lead 5+ pts and in last minutes better physical and prepare condition to make the difference.
                    twitter-icon-10529.jpg https://twitter.com/insiderteameu
                    facebook_icon-40x40.gifhttps://www.facebook.com/typybukmacherskie.dwill

                    GL!
                    Last edited by DWill8; 12-01-2013, 03:29 PM.

                    Comment


                    • #11
                      Stelmet Zielona Gora - Jezioro Tarnobrzeg
                      1(-16)
                      1.84
                      Marathonbet
                      5/10


                      I think game should be similar like Stelmet - AZS, when hosts demolished guests 105:76, especially after lost in Euroleague against Unicaja in home, due this reason They will be double mobilized against very poor team and for guests will not help change on head coach position - after few months back Dariusz Szczubial (start season with Kotwica Kolobrzeg). Advantage for hosts for every position on two levels quality. As i know hosts with full roster on 90%. Only one question is rotation roster by coach Uvalin.

                      Defense Jezioro is very very weak and short roster, so guests are no chance in Zielona Gora.

                      over 165.5 @ 1.75 sbobet 5/10


                      Energa Czarni Slupsk - Trefl Sopot
                      1(-2)
                      1.8
                      Pinnacle
                      5/10


                      Both teams played few times before start of season, played two games in Polish Cup, where Czarni beat no problem team from Sopot.
                      In revenge game in Slupsk, Trefl bad entered to the game in 1st quarter missed shots by missed.
                      League games is time where both teams playing more seriously, so today game is best game in 8 round and from this game is nationwide broadcast.
                      Urlep is one of best coach in leage with reads opponents. Both teams they know their weaknesses perfectly.
                      For me huge advantage is home ground for Czarni, advantage under rim. In last game Garrett Stutz played well in Zgorzelec, but Keith Wright was shadow player in Zgorzelec, so i expect he will not play 2nd weak game in a row.

                      over 148@ 1.76 marathonbet 5/10
                      Last edited by DWill8; 12-02-2013, 12:21 PM.

                      Comment


                      • #12
                        PGE Turow Zgorzelec - Lietuvos Rytas
                        2(-1)
                        1.8
                        Pinancle
                        5/10


                        Turow isn't hosts in this game! Match playing in Walbrzych, 150km from Zgorzelec. Same situation like in previous season (previous season played in Wroclaw in Orbita). This is first game for Turow on this hall. So for me isnt big advantage, and i expect 60-70% local fans, so come on this game for watch stars not for support team from Zgorzelec.
                        Another weak point for Turow is short roster and only one PG.
                        PG Turow on european level is very easy to stoppable, so Dirk Baumermann with Lietuvos preffer defense, and have two equally point guards.
                        PF/C. On PF is Dylewicz and center in good shape is Damian Kulig. Dylewicz looks not same level ile season ago in Trefl Sopot for both sides on floor.
                        Dirk Bauermann was head coach of NT Polish team , so perfectly know about Lukasz Wisniewski and Kulig.
                        Wisniewski and Kulig are very important and with short rotation for Turow is advantage for Lietuvos with Bauermann.

                        GL!
                        Last edited by DWill8; 12-02-2013, 12:21 PM.

                        Comment


                        • #13
                          Yesterday 5/5 anyone followed? there are people on the forum that bet on games?

                          Comment


                          • #14
                            Originally posted by DWill8 View Post
                            Yesterday 5/5 anyone followed? there are people on the forum that bet on games?
                            i bet a few Eurobasketball games (mainly Euroleague but i pick random leagues too ) here and there (in between my NBA/PBA/NFL/Tennis betting) basically because of the time: the games at around 1AM to 5AM here in the Philippines so it's a great to be on while waiting for the new games the next day

                            Nice to see this thread and i hope it is indeed a profitable thread!
                            If there is no basketball in heaven, i am NOT going.

                            SMALLBALL, bitches..

                            Comment


                            • #15
                              And also, is this all pinnacle?

                              You can also bet on PBA games, we can exchange advices here (i don't know much of the Euro leagues except maybe for the popular ones and recent winners)
                              If there is no basketball in heaven, i am NOT going.

                              SMALLBALL, bitches..

                              Comment

                              Working...
                              X

                              Debug Information