You're not getting how data probability analysis works , they are not predicting which specify players like Timmie will be drafted or predicting their actions like if he will withdraw or not .
But have identified correlation features to determine historical probability. The point is not to determine certainty of predictions, this is impossible. There will always be outliners., but simply historical probability precedence .
It's similar to the the data that in 163 instances when a team is down 3 games to zero wins in a game 7 series , in the NBA , no team has come back. It's factual truth.
So here are the factual truths (not opinion or analysis is )
1. No player has been drafted since 2019 that didn't get invited to both the combine and elite camp. (Fact)and note the voters aren't bad as they are the teams themselves.
2. No player has been drafted that is not in the "consensus " top 70 for the top 10 reliable draft in last 5 years. * consensus means average rating
Does that mean it's impossible or can't be a 1st , of course not , no one is saying that.
Everyone is entitled to betting or predicting despite the historical data odds