I meant, what would I choose between 18yo Kleiza and 18yo Tubelis looking forward to 20's NT. It's tricky and I expected opposition here, it's other side of the coin really. But my point was that Kleiza's 20pts might be outweighed by Tubelis elite defence (I should emphasize that most of our elite bigs weren't elite defenders...even Arvydas who was too slow to be treated elite, IMO), superior passing and still very good offense, some 12/16ppg in FIBA, IMO. I mean, sure, you still want to have a guy who can give you buckets at elite level. But I also remember such teams as Russia 2007. They had Kirilenko and Khriapa (couple of other strong defenders) and that Russia locked more offensively talented teams as Lithuania, Spain and grabbed the title. That's why I'm having a hard time choosing between Kleiza and Tubelis. We might potentially have something very reliable with Tubelis, Sedekerskis, Marciulionis on the court because of their limitless defensive upside (not to mention that players like Velicka, Jokubaitis, Sirvydis, D. Giedraitis should make their defensive impact as well). I think that three elite players in one lineup might be unprecedented and I'm willing to see what will be the outcome.
I get you idea. I was basically saying that we already know what Kleiza had become, so it's hard to look at him only as 18yo prospect, even tho back in the day he was hell of the talent, he even played as C in some youth tournaments, cause was very strong physically. He was more versatile, better scorer, better leader, watching him you could feel that this guy will be big, he had all the package with talent and character. Tubelis is talented, but so far everything is on paper. We can't really say that he will bring elite defense to senior level. I hope he will and of course you need a player like that, but I wouldn't put him in the same category as Kleiza yet or the same Kirilenko, latter was a player who could cover almost every position, huge IQ, amazing versatility. That Russia was loaded and we lost against them in 2007 not cause of elite individual defense, but cause we were simply unprepared, we had no day off, when Russia did and Butautas simply didn't have a plan. Blatt just kicked out our asses early and we had to waste tons of energy to catch up, but at the end collapsed. In 2008 we beat them. I'm not taking anything away from Tubelis, he is surely talented kid, but yet I don't feel that superstar material, but maybe that's just me. I simply think it's a bit too early to judge. We need some proves on senior level, I hope he will give us some clues upcoming summer
Comparison with Songaila is interesting, but tricky. Pakėnas guy described Tubelis as antithesis to Songaila, and Pakėnas obviously exaggerated rather strongly, but Tubelis is more athletic. Tubelis still has more explosive first step, is a better leaper, way faster in the open court and can put the ball on the flour as Songaila never could. On other hand, Songaila had more reliable jump shot. Both were reliable defenders, but I still treat Tubelis more complete defender cause he can live with 2/5 positions because of his agility and Tubelis has quicker and more explosive hands. While to me Songaila was a boderline elite forward, I treat Tubelis as elite (yet prospect) forward who should have some 14/16pts, 8/10rbs, 3as NBA seasons, being a started at least for a couple of seasons in his prime. That's my projection. We'll see if I'll be spot on with it.
Have in mind that 18yo Tubelis nearly matches 20yo Songaila's NCAA stats (Songaila was a freshman in NCAA being 20yo). And Songaila made NT being 22yo, while we speculate that 19yo Tubelis potentially might be in the camp this summer and maybe would even make it if he continues to develop big time.
Honestly, I absolutely don't care about Pakenas or Urbonas analysis. They are weak at it. Even for me as amateurish bball fan, as you can hear lot of simply stupid things they are bringing out. They are questioning things and they has no answers why. Their strong part is inside info, at times they get some interesting things you didn't know, or Urbonas used to have decent interviews with interesting people, the rest I'm not interested anymore. If there's a guy who can bring some analysis, then there's Leksas in these podcasts things. The reason I made Songaila comparison was not only their playing styles or position they plays, but more like possible influence in NT. No that go-to guy, but important rotation player. That's where I see Tubelis now if he will live up to my expectations, pretty much like Songaila was in frontcourt.
That stats things, not really fair to judge. It has 20 years or so difference, it all changed too much. At least I don't take that into consideration, I'm not that stats or records geek too
